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Microscale is key to model current and future Maritime Antarctic vegetation

dc.contributor.authorMatos, Paula
dc.contributor.authorRocha, Bernardo
dc.contributor.authorPinho, Pedro
dc.contributor.authorMiranda, Vasco
dc.contributor.authorPina, Pedro
dc.contributor.authorGoyanes, Gabriel
dc.contributor.authorVieira, Gonçalo
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-06T14:35:19Z
dc.date.available2025-01-06T14:35:19Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractDespite being one of the most pristine regions in the world, Antarctica is currently also one of the most vulnerable to climate change. Antarctic vegetation comprises mostly lichens and bryophytes, complemented in some milder regions of Maritime Antarctica by two vascular plant species. Shifts in the spatial patterns of these three main vegetation groups have already been observed in response to climate change, highlighting the urgent need for the development of comprehensive large-scale ecological models of the effects of climate change. Besides climate, Antarctic terrestrial vegetation is also strongly influenced by non-climatic microscale conditions related to abiotic and biotic factors. Nevertheless, the quantification of their importance in determining vegetation patterns remains unclear. The objective of this work was to quantify the importance of abiotic and biotic microscale conditions in determining the spatial cover patterns of the major functional types, lichens, vascular plants and bryophytes, explicitly determining the likely confinement of each functional type to the microscale conditions, i.e., their ecological niche. Microscale explained >60 % of the spatial variation of lichens and bryophytes and 30 % of vascular plants, with the niche analysis suggesting that each of the three functional types may be likely confined to specific microscale conditions in the studied gradient. Models indicate that the main microscale ecological filters are abiotic but show the potential benefits of including biotic variables and point to the need for further clarification of vegetation biotic interactions' role in these ecosystems. Altogether, these results point to the need for the inclusion of microscale drivers in ecological models to track and forecast climate change effects, as they are crucial to explain present vegetation patterns in response to climate, and for the interpretation of ecological model results under a climate change perspective.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationMatos, P., Rocha, B., Pinho, P., Miranda, V., Pina, P., Goyanes, G. & Vieira, G. (2024). Microscale is key to model current and future Maritime Antarctic vegetation. Science of The Total Environment, 946, 174171. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174171pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174171pt_PT
dc.identifier.eissn1879-1026
dc.identifier.issn0048-9697
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/96862
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relation10.54499/2020.03415.CEEIND/CP1595/CT0006pt_PT
dc.relationAntarctic Peninsula permafrost under a changing climate: sensitivity, fate and impacts
dc.relationANTARCRUST - Biocrust biodiversity as an indicator to diagnose, monitor and predict climate change impacts in Antarctic ecosystems’ functioning
dc.relationUsing Lichens Diversity to track the effects of climate change: can we do this at a global scale
dc.relationMapping and monitoring vegetation on ice-free areas of the Antarctic Peninsula through remote sensing
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969724043195?via%3Dihubpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectVegetation patternspt_PT
dc.subjectClimate changept_PT
dc.subjectNon-climatic microscale driverspt_PT
dc.titleMicroscale is key to model current and future Maritime Antarctic vegetationpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleAntarctic Peninsula permafrost under a changing climate: sensitivity, fate and impacts
oaire.awardTitleANTARCRUST - Biocrust biodiversity as an indicator to diagnose, monitor and predict climate change impacts in Antarctic ecosystems’ functioning
oaire.awardTitleUsing Lichens Diversity to track the effects of climate change: can we do this at a global scale
oaire.awardTitleMapping and monitoring vegetation on ice-free areas of the Antarctic Peninsula through remote sensing
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/Concurso de Projetos de I&D em Todos os Domínios Científicos - 2022/2022.06628.PTDC/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/CEEC IND 3ed/2020.03347.CEECIND%2FCP1614%2FCT0001/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT//SFRH%2FBD%2F149323%2F2019/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT//SFRH%2FBD%2F148538%2F2019/PT
oaire.citation.startPage174171pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleScience of The Total Environmentpt_PT
oaire.citation.volume946pt_PT
oaire.fundingStreamConcurso de Projetos de I&D em Todos os Domínios Científicos - 2022
oaire.fundingStreamCEEC IND 3ed
person.familyNameAntunes Matos
person.familyNameGoyanes
person.familyNameBrito Guapo Teles Vieira
person.givenNamePaula Sofia
person.givenNameGabriel Alejandro
person.givenNameGonçalo
person.identifierG-5048-2011
person.identifierG-5958-2010
person.identifier.ciencia-id2116-F0C9-AD1A
person.identifier.ciencia-id8018-A674-1A98
person.identifier.ciencia-id2519-6583-CAEA
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-6148-414X
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-5241-254X
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-7611-3464
person.identifier.scopus-author-id37461802700
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7005863976
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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