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Climate trends and behaviour of drought indices based on precipitation and evapotranspiration in Portugal

dc.contributor.authorPaulo, A.A.
dc.contributor.authorRosa, R.D.
dc.contributor.authorPereira, L.S.
dc.date.accessioned2012-09-14T13:21:27Z
dc.date.available2012-09-14T13:21:27Z
dc.date.issued2012
dc.description.abstractDistinction between drought and aridity is crucial to understand water scarcity processes. Drought indices are used for drought identification and drought severity characterisation. The Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) are the most known drought indices. In this study, they are compared with the modified PDSI for Mediterranean conditions (MedPDSI) and the Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). MedPDSI results from the soil water balance of an olive crop, thus real evapotranspiration is considered, while SPEI uses potential (climatic) evapotranspiration. Similarly to the SPI, SPEI can be computed at various time scales. Aiming at understanding possible impacts of climate change, prior to compare the drought indices, a trend analysis relative to precipitation and temperature in 27 weather stations of Portugal was performed for the period 1941 to 2006. A trend for temperature increase was observed for some weather stations and trends for decreasing precipitation in March and increasing in October were also observed for some locations. Comparisons of the SPI and SPEI at 9- and 12-month time scales, the PDSI and Med- PDSI were performed for the same stations and period. SPI and SPEI produce similar results for the same time scales concerning drought occurrence and severity. PDSI and Med- PDSI correlate well between them and the same happened for SPI and SPEI. PDSI and MedPDSI identify more severe droughts than SPI or SPEI and identify drought occurrence earlier than these indices. This behaviour is likely to be related with the fact that a water balance is performed with PDSI and MedPDSI, which better approaches the supplydemand balance.por
dc.identifier.citation"Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences". ISSN 1561-8633. 12 (2012) 1481-1491por
dc.identifier.issn1561-8633
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/4668
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.peerreviewedyespor
dc.publisherEuropean Geisciences Unionpor
dc.subjectclimatepor
dc.subjectdrought indicespor
dc.subjectprecipitationpor
dc.subjectevapotranspirationpor
dc.titleClimate trends and behaviour of drought indices based on precipitation and evapotranspiration in Portugalpor
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage1491por
oaire.citation.startPage1481por
oaire.citation.titleNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciencespor
oaire.citation.volume12por
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typearticlepor

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