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Climate change and government borrowing costs : a triple whammy for emerging market economies

dc.contributor.authorClements, Benedict
dc.contributor.authorGupta, Sanjeev
dc.contributor.authorJalles, João
dc.contributor.authorAdrogue, Bernat
dc.date.accessioned2023-10-27T09:54:10Z
dc.date.available2023-10-27T09:54:10Z
dc.date.issued2023-10
dc.description.abstractClimate change is a systemic risk to the global economy. While there is a large body of literature documenting the potential economic consequences of climate change, there is relatively little research on the link between vulnerabilities to climate change, the buildup of climate debt by countries with historically large carbon dioxide emissions, and how well financial markets incorporate (or not) these risks to sovereign governments. This paper investigates the impact of both climate debt and climate vulnerabiities/resiliency on sovereign bond yields and spreads in advanced and emerging market economies, using a novel dataset. We find that changes in climate debt are an important determinant of spreads, but only in emerging market economies. Countries with high vulnerabilities and low resilency to climate change also pay higher spreads. This implies a triple whammy of challenges for emerging market economies as they confront the economic damages of climate change, the high fiscal costs of climate adaptation, and high borrowing costs.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationClements, Benedict ... [et al.] (2023). "Climate change and government borrowing costs : a triple whammy for emerging market economies". REM Working paper series, nº 0294/2023pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn2184-108X
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/29136
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematicspt_PT
dc.relationUIDB/05069/2020pt_PT
dc.relation.ispartofseriesREM Working paper series;nº 0294/2023
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://rem.rc.iseg.ulisboa.pt/wps/pdf/REM_WP_0294_2023.pdfpt_PT
dc.subjectclimate change vulnerabilitypt_PT
dc.subjectgovernment bond spreadspt_PT
dc.subjectsovereign riskpt_PT
dc.subjectpanel datapt_PT
dc.subjectsocial cost of carbonpt_PT
dc.titleClimate change and government borrowing costs : a triple whammy for emerging market economiespt_PT
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT

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