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Advisor(s)
Abstract(s)
Climate change and its effects are inevitable according to many authors;
policies should be assumed regarding their mitigation and adaptation. Some economic
sectors may suffer negative impacts, being tourism one with greater potential
for impact. The increase in average sea level is one of the potential effects of climate
change that can have consequences on tourism, particularly in the travel destinations
that include coastal regions. The main objective of this work is to propose an
approach for the assessment of potential impacts of the increase in the average sea
level of tourism in a coastal area with a tripartite methodology. This methodology
includes the assessment of physical vulnerability of the coast, including a coastal
vulnerability index composed by nine physical variables – elevation, distance to
shore, tide amplitude, significant wave weight, erosion/accretion rates, geology,
geomorphology, ground cover vegetation and anthropogenic actions – followed by
a quantification of coastal recession, based on the Bruun rule and the data of Special
Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) developed by the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC), on the rise in average sea level. Finally, it is estimated the total economic value of an area of recreation and tourism, based on the travel
cost method. The proposed methodology was applied to a case study in the
Portuguese coast, corresponding to the beach of São Jacinto, in Aveiro.
Description
Keywords
Coastal area Sea level rise Vulnerability Bruun rule Travel cost
Pedagogical Context
Citation
Gomes, P., Gutierres, F., Rocha, J., & Teodoro, A. C. (2018). Assessment of Potential Impacts in Tourism of the Increase in the Average Sea Level. In: C. M. Botero, et al. (eds.). Beach Management Tools-Concepts, Methodologies and Case Studies. (pp. 349-371). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-58304-4_18.
Publisher
Springer