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3-step analysis of public finances sustainability : the case of the European Union

dc.contributor.authorAfonso, António
dc.contributor.authorRault, Christophe
dc.date.accessioned2010-06-22T13:53:25Z
dc.date.available2010-06-22T13:53:25Z
dc.date.issued2008-06
dc.description.abstractWe use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF specific panel unit root test to investigate the mean-reverting behaviour of general government expenditure and revenue ratios. Secondly, we apply the bootstrap panel cointegration techniques that account for the time series and cross-sectional dependencies of the regression error. Thirdly, we check for a structural long-run equation between general government expenditures and revenues via SUR analysis. While results imply that public finances were not unsustainable for the EU panel, fiscal sustainability is an issue in most countries, with a below unit estimated coefficient of expenditure in the cointegration relation with revenue as the dependent variable.pt
dc.identifier.citationAfonso, António, Christophe Rault. 2008. "3-step analysis of public finances sustainability : the case of the European Union". European Central Bank working paper series nº 908-2008pt
dc.identifier.issn1725-2806
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/2151
dc.language.isoengpt
dc.publisherEuropean Central Bankpt
dc.relation.ispartofseriesEuropean Central Bank working paper series;nº 908-2008
dc.relation.publisherversionhttp://www.ecb.int/pub/pdf/scpwps/ecbwp908.pdfpt
dc.subjectFiscal Sustainabilitypt
dc.subjectEUpt
dc.subjectPanel Cointegrationpt
dc.title3-step analysis of public finances sustainability : the case of the European Unionpt
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
person.familyNameAfonso
person.givenNameAntónio
person.identifierFlcHP7AAAAAJ
person.identifier.ciencia-id0C1F-DA6C-4B02
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-6926-2653
person.identifier.scopus-author-id8698711200
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt
relation.isAuthorOfPublication25c54254-6088-4bd3-8e17-a922bac7fdd5
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery25c54254-6088-4bd3-8e17-a922bac7fdd5

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