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Risk analysis for local management from hydro-geomorphologic disaster databases

dc.contributor.authorSantos, Pedro Pinto
dc.contributor.authorTavares, Alexandre Oliveira
dc.contributor.authorZêzere, José
dc.date.accessioned2017-07-12T09:58:50Z
dc.date.available2017-07-12T09:58:50Z
dc.date.issued2014
dc.description.abstractThis article describes the applications of a hydro-geomorphologic disaster database allowing a more appropriate local risk management. Two databases of loss and damage with different criteria, using Central Portugal occur- rences, were constructed upon national and regional newspapers: one included all the disaster occurrences regardless of the level of loss and damage reported and the other only the major disasters for which casualties and other human losses were reported. Risk matrices, exploring likelihood and consequence, were analysed along with data regard- ing urban and demographic dynamics over time and risk profiles by municipality were obtained. The results show that the database which only included major disasters produced a risk matrix with lower levels of risk in comparison to the one produced from the more inclusive database. The most densely urbanised municipalities represent a greater number of disaster occurrences, but when considering only major losses, other peripheral municipalities emerge as high risk. Changes in territorial forcers are shaping the impact patterns in the region. Along with an increase in the housing density, an increase in disasters is observed, although the decrease of inhabitants. Impacts and territorial forcers cluster analysis and risk matrices’ results conduced to municipal risk profiles supporting management. Those profiles conduce to different frames of action from specific emergency planning, warning and alert, multi-hazard planning, or prevention measures involving land use planning or insurance and mutualisation solutions. Disaster databases that allow differentiating local patterns of impacts–and their respective contexts - contribute to define locally adequate risk management policies.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationSantos, Pedro Pinto, Tavares, Alexandre Oliveira & Zêzere, José. (2014). Risk analysis for local management from hydro-geomorphologic disaster databases. Environmental Science & Policy, 40, 85-100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2013.12.007. ISSN: 1462-9011
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.envsci.2013.12.007pt_PT
dc.identifier.issn1462-9011
dc.identifier.issn1873-6416
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10451/28313
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.subjectDatabasespt_PT
dc.subjectHydro-geomorphologic disasterspt_PT
dc.subjectRisk matrixpt_PT
dc.subjectTerritorial forcerspt_PT
dc.subjectRisk managementpt_PT
dc.titleRisk analysis for local management from hydro-geomorphologic disaster databasespt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage100pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage85pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleEnvironmental Science and Policypt_PT
oaire.citation.volume40pt_PT
person.familyNameSantos
person.familyNameZêzere
person.givenNamePedro Pinto
person.givenNameJosé Luís
person.identifierH-9956-2013
person.identifier.ciencia-id511D-EE6B-47E3
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-9785-0180
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-3953-673X
person.identifier.ridD-7076-2014
person.identifier.scopus-author-id56499523100
person.identifier.scopus-author-id6507109389
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationdd3ba412-bd7e-43d2-9b96-958985bd21f0
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationa49d5ad5-533a-4973-b8c6-a4f201b1cf62
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverya49d5ad5-533a-4973-b8c6-a4f201b1cf62

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